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Closed for application
C40.CU2.07

Agent Based - Input Output models for risk and impact assessment of natural adverse events

  • Reference person
    Alessandro
    Caiani
    alessandro.caiani@iusspavia.it
  • Host University/Institute
    Scuola Universita Superiore IUSS Pavia
  • Internship
    N
  • Research Keywords
    Risk and Impact Assessment
    Production Networks
    Natural Disasters and Natural Hazards
  • Reference ERCs
    SH1_12 Environmental economics; resource and energy economics; agricultural economics
    SH1_1 Macroeconomics; monetary economics; economic growth
    SH7_6 Environmental and climate change, societal impact and policy
  • Reference SDGs
    GOAL 13: Climate Action
  • Studente
  • Supervisor
  • Co-Supervisor

Description

The candidate should contribute to the ongoing research at the CARISMA research centre dedicated to developing a hybrid Agent-Based Input-Output (AB-IO) model for the risk and impact assessment of adverse natural events associated with climate change. The selected candidate is expected to contribute to one or more of the following aspects:• Refining the AB-IO model with particular reference to:o The inclusion of investment and capital.o The modeling of transport infrastructures and transportation costs and their impact on firms’ and final consumers' purchasing choices.o The inclusion of financial aspects.• Reconstructing firm-to-firm production networks.• Assessing the direct impacts of extreme events, with a focus on the impact on firms’ operability and economic performance.• Developing probabilistic regional scenarios for future climate and its impact on: o The future occurrence of extreme weather events.o The impacts on natural capital, ecosystems, and ecosystem services.o Assessing the reliance of economic sectors on ecosystem services and the economic pressure exerted by different economic activities on natural ecosystems.The research activity will be carried out at the CARISMA (Climate Change Impact Studies for Risk Management) research centre of IUSS.

Suggested skills:

Good quantitative and programming skillsPast experience/willingness to work in the fields of economic modelling/enginering modelling of risk and impacts/statistical and econometric models/network models.

Research team and environment

The selected candidate will join the research centre on Climate change impAct studies for RISk MAnagement (CARISMA). The CARISMA team is composed by STEM and Social scientists working in the prism of climate change on data analysis and modelling of Earth System and Economic System processes; impact assessment of extreme natural events and anthropogenic activities on human and natural environments; risk assessment and management of natural and anthropogenic hazards; and formulation/proposal of new economic, political and legal models of sustainable development.